ASEAN+3 Economic Growth Slows Amid US Tariff Pressures

The ASEAN+3 region is projected to experience a deceleration in economic expansion, with growth rates anticipated at 3.8% for 2025 and 3.6% for 2026. This slowdown is primarily attributed to the effects of increased tariffs imposed by the United States. Inflation is expected to remain subdued at 1% for both years, reflecting stable global commodity prices. Despite this stability, external economic uncertainties remain high. In this context, enhancing regional economic integration is seen as increasingly vital to strengthen resilience against global economic shocks.

A replay of the AMRO press briefing on the ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook, January Update, is available. During the briefing, AMRO Chief Economist Dong He and Principal Economist Allen Ng addressed media questions. Karen Wilkinson, AMRO Assistant Head of Communications, moderated the session.

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Watch Press Briefing: ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook (AREO) Update, July 2025

ASEAN+3 is expected to growth at a slower pace of 3.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026, mainly reflecting the impact of higher US tariffs. Inflation is projected to remain low at 1% in both 2025 and 2026, reflecting stable commodity prices. External uncertainties remain elevated. In this environment, deepening regional integration is now more urgent than ever to build resilience against external shocks. n nWatch the replay of AMRO’s press briefing on the ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook, January Update as AMRO Chief Economist Dong He and Principal Economist and Allen Ng field questions from the media. The press briefing was moderated by AMRO Assistant Head of Communications, Karen Wilkinson.

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