Global Economic Outlook: Upgraded GDP Forecasts for Major Economies in 2025

In its August 2025 update, the economic forecasting team has raised its projections for annual real GDP growth across several key economies, including the United States, Canada, the eurozone, the United Kingdom, and mainland China. These upward revisions reflect stronger-than-expected economic momentum and improved trade conditions following adjustments to reciprocal tariff policies. n nConversely, growth expectations for India and Brazil have been scaled back for both 2025 and 2026. This downward adjustment stems primarily from the impact of higher U.S. import duties than initially anticipated, which are expected to weigh on export performance and industrial output in these emerging markets. n nFinancial markets have responded positively to the revised trade framework announced in August, particularly as most partner nations now face lower tariff rates compared to the initial round imposed in April. This shift has helped stabilize investor confidence and supported asset valuations globally. n nMeanwhile, indicators of slowing activity in certain developing economies suggest a policy pivot among some central banks. Institutions in countries like Brazil and Russia appear to be moving away from tight monetary settings, potentially paving the way for rate cuts to stimulate domestic demand. n— news from Seeking Alpha n

— News Original —nGlobal Economic Outlook: August 2025nMarkit n n3.44K Follower s n nComments n nSummary n nWe have revised up our annual real GDP growth forecasts for 2025 for several major economies in our August update, including the US, Canada, the eurozone, the UK and mainland China. n nOur real GDP growth forecasts for India and Brazil have been lowered for 2025 and 2026, reflecting much higher US tariffs than previously assumed. n nThe US reciprocal tariff announcements in August have contributed to generally positive financial market sentiment, with most trading partners receiving lower tariffs compared to the initial batch in early April. n nIncreasing signs of economic weakness indicate that some emerging economy central banks, including those in Brazil and Russia, are transitioning away from their restrictive monetary policy stances. n nWhat are our GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026? n nWe have revised up our annual real GDP growth forecasts for 2025 for several major economies in our August update, including the US, Canada, the eurozone, the UK and n nThis article was written by n n3.44K Follower s n nIHS Markit (Nasdaq: INFO) is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide. The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions. IHS Markit has more than 50,000 key business and government customers, including 80 percent of the Fortune Global 500 and the world’s leading financial institutions. Headquartered in London, IHS Markit is committed to sustainable, profitable growth. n nComments n nRecommended For You n nRelated Stocks n nSymbolLast Price% ChgEWZ–iShares MSCI Brazil ETFBRF–VanEck Brazil Small-Cap ETFEWZS–iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap ETFFLBR–Franklin FTSE Brazil ETFBRZU–Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 2X Shares ETF n nRelated Analysis n nTrending Analysis n nTrending News

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